Confluence — Quant vs Sentiment vs Crowd

The /confluence endpoint fuses the Kronos model's directional forecast with independent external signals — social sentiment from Gate.io MCP (bullish/bearish/neutral) and the quant-vs-crowd composite — into a simple AGREE/CONFLICT/NEUTRAL tag per signal plus an overall confluence score. It's lightweight: it reuses cached sentiment (60s TTL) and cached consensus, so there's no fresh GPU inference.

Endpoint

GET /api/feeds/kronos/confluence/:symbolKey?days=30

Parameters

ParamTypeRequiredDescription
symbolKeypathYesAsset symbol, e.g. btc_usdt, eth_usdt
daysqueryNoCrowd lookback window in days (default: 30, max: 365)

Pricing

$0.01 per request (payment after delivery).

Example request

curl -H "X-PAYMENT: <x402-payment-header>" \
  "https://kronos.seshat.markets/api/feeds/kronos/confluence/btc_usdt?days=30"

Example response (truncated)

{
  "symbol": "btc_usdt",
  "quant": "AGREE",
  "sentiment": "BULLISH",
  "crowd": "AGREE",
  "confluence": "AGREE",
  "score": 0.82,
  "details": {
    "quant_direction": "up",
    "sentiment_label": "BULLISH",
    "sentiment_score": 0.71,
    "crowd_signal": "AGREE",
    "crowd_agreement_rate": 0.64
  }
}

Use cases

Triple Confirmation Trading

When quant, sentiment, and crowd all say AGREE with score: 0.82, that's a triple-confirmed signal. These are the highest-conviction setups — size up with confidence.

Conflict Detection

When confluence: "CONFLICT", the three signals disagree. Don't trade — the market is sending mixed signals. Wait for confluence to resolve back to AGREE or NEUTRAL.

Sentiment vs Quant Divergence

If quant says AGREE but sentiment is BEARISH, social sentiment is fighting the model. Check if news catalysts justify the divergence — if not, trust the quant model.

Multi-Asset Confluence Screen

Call /confluence for BTC, ETH, and SOL. Only trade assets where score > 0.70. Filter out conflicted assets and build a portfolio of high-confluence signals only.

Frequently asked questions

What is a crypto signal confluence API?
It fuses three independent signals — Kronos quant direction, social sentiment from Gate.io MCP, and the quant-vs-crowd composite — into AGREE/CONFLICT/NEUTRAL tags plus an overall confluence score. When all three agree, you get a high-conviction signal.
How do I detect conflicting crypto trading signals?
Check the confluence field. When it returns "CONFLICT", the three signals disagree — don't trade. When it returns "AGREE" with score > 0.70, all signals are aligned and it's a high-conviction setup.
Does the confluence API require GPU inference?
No. It reuses cached sentiment (60s TTL) and cached consensus, so there's no fresh GPU inference. This makes it lightweight and fast — $0.01 per call with USDC on Solana or Base via x402.
How is confluence different from the composite signal?
Composite compares quant vs crowd historically (agreement rates, who wins). Confluence fuses quant + sentiment + crowd in real-time into a single AGREE/CONFLICT/NEUTRAL tag with a score. Use both: composite for strategy, confluence for entry timing.

Related endpoints