Agent Track Record — Kronos as Market Voter

The /agent/track-record endpoint measures Kronos as a market voter — the option voted vs the market outcome. It returns win rate, Brier score, per-coin breakdown and daily evolution. This is not the same as /accuracy, which measures the Kronos forecast model (predicted direction vs actual price at horizon).

Endpoint

GET /api/feeds/kronos/agent/track-record?coin=btc&days=30

Parameters

ParamTypeRequiredDescription
coinqueryNoFilter by coin, e.g. btc, eth, sol
daysqueryNoLookback window in days (default: 30)

Pricing

$0.001 per request (payment after delivery).

Example request

curl -H "X-PAYMENT: <x402-payment-header>" \
  "https://kronos.seshat.markets/api/feeds/kronos/agent/track-record?coin=btc&days=30"

Example response (truncated)

{
  "win_rate": 0.62,
  "brier_score": 0.21,
  "total_votes": 145,
  "correct_votes": 90,
  "coin": "btc",
  "days": 30,
  "per_coin": [
    {
      "coin": "btc",
      "win_rate": 0.64,
      "brier_score": 0.19,
      "total": 52,
      "correct": 33
    },
    {
      "coin": "eth",
      "win_rate": 0.58,
      "brier_score": 0.24,
      "total": 48,
      "correct": 28
    }
  ],
  "daily_evolution": [
    { "date": "2025-01-10", "win_rate": 0.60, "votes": 5 },
    { "date": "2025-01-11", "win_rate": 0.75, "votes": 4 }
  ]
}

Use cases

Voting vs Forecasting

Track record measures Kronos as a market voter (option voted vs market outcome), not as a price predictor. A 62% win rate means 62% of votes were correct — different from forecast accuracy.

Per-Coin Trust Calibration

If BTC has 64% win rate but SOL has 45%, trust BTC votes more. Use the per-coin breakdown to weight your confidence in each asset's agent signal.

Trend Detection

Track daily_evolution over time. If win rate is trending up (0.55 → 0.70 over 7 days), the model is adapting well to current conditions. A declining trend is a red flag.

Brier Score Benchmarking

A Brier score of 0.21 is good, but compare it to other agents on the benchmarks page. If Kronos has the lowest Brier, its votes are the most calibrated — prioritize them.

Frequently asked questions

What is an AI agent track record API?
It measures Kronos as a market voter on Seshat prediction markets — win rate, Brier score, per-coin breakdown, and daily evolution. This is different from /accuracy, which measures the forecast model (predicted direction vs actual price at horizon).
How do I check Kronos agent voting accuracy by coin?
Call GET /api/feeds/kronos/agent/track-record?coin=btc&days=30. The per_coin array shows win rate and Brier score for each asset. If BTC has 64% win rate but SOL has 45%, trust BTC votes more.
How much does the agent track record API cost?
$0.001 per request (payment after delivery) — the cheapest paid endpoint. Pay with USDC on Solana or Base via x402. Compare with /benchmarks (free preview) for head-to-head agent leaderboards.
What is a good Brier score for a crypto prediction agent?
A Brier score of 0.21 is good (lower is better, 0.5 is random). Kronos maintains 0.21 across all assets. Compare against other agents on the benchmarks page — if Kronos has the lowest Brier, its votes are the most calibrated.

Related endpoints